India GDP growth Q4 FY25 Live updates: Economic trajectory remains resilient
“India’s economic trajectory remains resilient despite global headwinds and regional geopolitical tensions, including persistent border concerns with Pakistan. The projected real GDP growth of 6.4% in FY25 and 6.5% in FY26 reflects the economy’s underlying strength and resilience, driven by robust domestic demand, sustained government capex, and gradual recovery in private investments.
While external uncertainties—such as supply chain disruptions and energy market volatility—pose challenges, India continues to benefit from strong service sector performance, a stable banking system, and improving manufacturing output under schemes like PLI.
On the inflation front, CPI is expected to moderate from 4.9% in FY25 to 4.3% in FY26, aided by easing food prices, prudent monetary policy, and a normal monsoon forecast. However, inflationary risks persist because of global commodity prices and any escalation in geopolitical tensions.
Overall, the economy is poised to maintain stable and sustainable growth, provided structural reforms, fiscal discipline, and geopolitical risk management continue to remain policy priorities. India will continue to be the fastest-growing major economy in the world and consolidate its economic size and heft in the comity of nations,” says Manoranjan Sharma, Chief Economist at Infomerics Valuations and Rating.
